What TFIE Strategy Briefing Is For
Michael Barnard’s TFIE Strategy Briefing provides reality-based decarbonization analysis for people who need to separate real transition progress from activity, hype, and narrative momentum. The work tests energy, industry, transportation, infrastructure, policy, and climate-tech capital allocation against evidence, denominators, comparators, update triggers, and time.
What this publication does
Public analysis
Free posts carry the public argument. They include long-form essays, migrated archive pieces, infographics, Substack Notes, and clear positions on what is scaling, progressing, niche-valid, stalled, or defensive.
Professional layer
Paid posts provide the structured layer behind selected analyses: Transition Pathway Scorecards, evidence notes, denominator checks, update triggers, position updates, and decision-grade context.
Private work
TFIE Strategy applies the same framework privately for live investment, procurement, policy, infrastructure, or strategy decisions.
What gets reviewed
The Briefing reviews transition pathways through five outcomes: affordability, security, resilience, emissions, and scale.

How to navigate
Method
Start here to understand how pathways are tested.
Paid Briefing
Start here to understand what paid subscribers get.
Scorecards
Start here to see how pathway verdicts are structured.
Archive and tags
Use tags to browse by topic: Power, Grid & Storage; China & Critical Minerals; Firm Power & FOAK Risk; Maritime, Aviation & Fuels; Transit Procurement Reality; TFIE Diligence Files; and Transition Pathway Review.
Subscribe for reality-based decarbonization analysis. Free posts carry the public argument. Paid subscribers get scorecards, evidence notes, denominator checks, update triggers, and decision-grade context.
Private pathway reviews
For organizations facing a live investment, procurement, policy, infrastructure, or strategy decision, TFIE Strategy can apply the same pathway-review framework privately. That work starts with the decision to be tested, not with a generic consulting engagement.
